Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 870.239677 986.385831 1116.591223 1274.201057 1460.918715 1676.425332 1945.954489
2025-04-20 710.579758 865.866776 1056.956536 1312.900149 1652.153215 2094.324598 2727.735106
2025-04-27 618.116685 787.508014 1008.477888 1324.497541 1776.217528 2417.242710 3431.710858
2025-05-04 558.191346 737.044502 981.681711 1351.174250 1914.539100 2776.285010 4270.453324
2025-05-11 510.693633 694.622727 956.395474 1370.660856 2038.999319 3132.700377 5197.453301
2025-05-18 481.510117 673.130883 956.145361 1424.337514 2222.247115 3618.768943 6496.766251
2025-05-25 448.140934 640.857620 934.428302 1438.700907 2339.832436 4013.790986 7751.875712
2025-06-01 414.766607 604.614794 901.527517 1428.372540 2409.856481 4333.099523 8958.639645
2025-06-08 385.972344 572.441007 871.105900 1417.083328 2474.419746 4654.126421 10290.828979
2025-06-15 368.132484 555.886036 864.213968 1445.939533 2620.515928 5180.659411 12367.495101
2025-06-22 339.897793 519.745952 820.324899 1400.304211 2607.101985 5347.240793 13530.774069
2025-06-29 316.055776 489.017084 782.904055 1362.184149 2602.823680 5534.304436 14847.529200
2025-07-06 291.770452 456.642563 741.341741 1314.406529 2577.494513 5684.582078 16207.797602
2025-07-13 282.282241 449.154387 744.128544 1356.401197 2764.690195 6446.459029 20225.847988
2025-07-20 269.728345 435.111221 733.222149 1368.273485 2883.333681 7061.209167 24182.509361
2025-07-27 260.254765 425.748214 730.095351 1396.095631 3047.189442 7868.188819 29723.748644
2025-08-03 250.688937 415.408812 723.989588 1416.400858 3196.470559 8689.346140 36247.481818
2025-08-10 245.632567 412.974020 733.105900 1472.357589 3454.771702 9987.220716 47154.137097
2025-08-17 236.741875 402.590726 725.167072 1487.334898 3602.273234 10960.971749 57647.614317
2025-08-24 226.105920 388.100912 707.490615 1476.564883 3672.565232 11675.862305 67597.860018
2025-08-31 216.205222 374.380213 690.273572 1464.793905 3738.105812 12408.244711 79236.150020
2025-09-07 210.606530 368.730450 689.682787 1494.883568 3943.466409 13855.405643 101247.986129
2025-09-14 199.034994 350.456952 660.392268 1447.300638 3885.239228 14073.608801 110876.776332